Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00240186           2          14          63          20           1        C3.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00107875           2          12          66          17           3        C3.8
GOES Xray  =   9.09628e-07           1           0          46          46           7        M1.1
est. ISN   =            71           1           3          60          32           4        C5.4
 
together                             1.25        7.50       58.75       28.75        3.75     C5.0
 
realized                                                                                      C7.6