Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00240359           2          13          63          19           3        C3.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00107559           2          12          67          17           2        C3.7
GOES Xray  =   9.29876e-07           1           0          46          44           9        M1.1
est. ISN   =            73           1           6          54          35           4        C7.0
 
together                             1.50        7.75       57.50       28.75        4.50     C5.2
 
realized                                                                                      C3.2