Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00242441           1          14          62          20           3        C2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00110982           3           8          65          15           9        C3.4
GOES Xray  =   1.17809e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            77           1           9          59          28           3        C4.9
 
together                             1.50        7.75       52.75       30.50        7.50     C6.1
 
realized                                                                                      M2.8