Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00242654           2          14          62          19           3        C3.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00111595           3           8          64          16           9        C3.6
GOES Xray  =   1.09521e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            83           1           1          58          34           6        C7.5
 
together                             1.75        5.75       52.25       32.00        8.25     C7.0
 
realized                                                                                      C5.8