Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00243919           3          14          53          26           4        C3.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00113558           2           4          69          21           4        C5.5
GOES Xray  =   1.18581e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            95           1           0          70          24           5        C5.6
 
together                             1.75        4.50       54.25       32.50        7.00     C7.5
 
realized                                                                                      M1.4