Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00241782           2          14          63          17           4        C2.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00110987           3           8          65          15           9        C3.4
GOES Xray  =   1.00132e-06           1           0          31          59           9        M1.3
est. ISN   =            90           1           0          74          20           5        C4.7
 
together                             1.75        5.50       58.25       27.75        6.75     C5.5
 
realized                                                                                      C6.5