Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00241278           3          13          67          15           2        C2.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00110215           2          13          63          15           7        C3.3
GOES Xray  =   9.42907e-07           1           0          43          47           9        M1.1
est. ISN   =            78           1           5          65          24           5        C5.6
 
together                             1.75        7.75       59.50       25.25        5.75     C4.9
 
realized                                                                                      C3.9