Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00240295           2          13          64          19           2        C3.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00108501           3          13          65          17           2        C2.9
GOES Xray  =   9.02386e-07           1           0          48          44           7        M1.0
est. ISN   =            68           1           8          67          23           1        C3.8
 
together                             1.75        8.50       61.00       25.75        3.00     C4.6
 
realized                                                                                      C2.3