Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236169           4          29          56          10           1        C1.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00101007           1          17          55          24           3        C3.0
GOES Xray  =   7.14583e-07           1           0          56          34           9        C8.5
est. ISN   =            85           1           1          59          34           5        C7.0
 
together                             1.75       11.75       56.50       25.50        4.50     C4.2
 
realized                                                                                      C4.1