Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235301           5          40          43          11           1        C1.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000996181           2          20          51          24           3        C3.0
GOES Xray  =   5.91375e-07           1           0          69          28           2        C6.5
est. ISN   =            72           1           5          54          36           4        C7.0
 
together                             2.00       16.25       54.50       24.75        2.50     C3.6
 
realized                                                                                      C6.1