Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232594           5          41          46           8           0        C1.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000935010           4          40          47           9           0        C1.5
GOES Xray  =   3.78937e-07           1           5          78          16           0        C3.0
est. ISN   =            62           5          14          59          20           2        C3.5
 
together                             3.75       25.00       57.50       13.25        0.50     C2.3
 
realized                                                                                      C3.6