Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230984           9          39          41          11           0        C1.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000905039           6          50          35           9           0        B8.8
GOES Xray  =   2.52767e-07           2          34          55           9           0        C1.3
est. ISN   =            50           2          15          69          13           1        C2.0
 
together                             4.75       34.50       50.00       10.50        0.25     C1.3
 
realized                                                                                      C2.6