Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230265          10          41          39          10           0        B9.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000895963           5          45          41           9           0        C1.0
GOES Xray  =   2.08128e-07           2          46          46           6           0        C1.0
est. ISN   =            52           1          18          65          15           1        C2.1
 
together                             4.50       37.50       47.75       10.00        0.25     C1.3
 
realized                                                                                      C1.4