Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00229582          12          40          40           8           0        B8.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000878230          11          43          41           5           0        B8.9
GOES Xray  =   1.64398e-07          12          57          25           6           0        B6.8
est. ISN   =            35           6          54          30          10           0        B7.6
 
together                            10.25       48.50       34.00        7.25        0.00     B7.4
 
realized                                                                                      C3.5