Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00228851          12          43          41           4           0        B7.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000860630          14          48          33           5           0        B6.6
GOES Xray  =   1.20915e-07           8          59          33           0           0        B5.7
est. ISN   =            28           7          54          32           7           0        B6.3
 
together                            10.25       51.00       34.75        4.00        0.00     B6.3
 
realized                                                                                      C4.2