Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00229773          12          40          39           9           0        B8.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000880517           7          44          43           6           0        B9.8
GOES Xray  =   1.96410e-07           5          45          44           6           0        C1.0
est. ISN   =            16          16          65          16           3           0        B2.7
 
together                            10.00       48.50       35.50        6.00        0.00     B7.4
 
realized                                                                                      B9.7