Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230808          10          39          40          11           0        C1.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000897939           6          44          40          10           0        C1.0
GOES Xray  =   2.51453e-07           3          34          54           9           0        C1.3
est. ISN   =            23           8          55          31           6           0        B6.5
 
together                             6.75       43.00       41.25        9.00        0.00     C1.0
 
realized                                                                                      C6.9