Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232589           5          41          46           8           0        C1.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000942642           1          37          52          10           0        C1.6
GOES Xray  =   3.65204e-07           2           6          76          16           0        C2.8
est. ISN   =            46           4          24          61           8           3        C1.8
 
together                             3.00       27.00       58.75       10.50        0.75     C1.9
 
realized                                                                                      C5.5