Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233416           3          48          37          12           0        B9.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000959301           2          30          54          13           1        C1.7
GOES Xray  =   4.08853e-07           1           1          80          17           1        C3.0
est. ISN   =            54           2          19          62          17           0        C2.5
 
together                             1.75       24.75       58.25       14.75        0.50     C2.2
 
realized                                                                                      C1.6