Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232440           5          41          45           9           0        C1.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000945374           1          35          53          11           0        C1.6
GOES Xray  =   3.07015e-07           4          11          75          10           0        C1.9
est. ISN   =            40           6          44          43           6           1        C1.0
 
together                             4.00       32.75       54.00        9.00        0.25     C1.5
 
realized                                                                                      B6.4