Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00231889           7          41          45           7           0        C1.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000932212           3          42          46           9           0        C1.5
GOES Xray  =   2.84030e-07           2          25          66           7           0        C1.6
est. ISN   =            46           4          24          61           8           3        C1.8
 
together                             4.00       33.00       54.50        7.75        0.75     C1.5
 
realized                                                                                      C1.2