Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233117           4          48          37          11           0        B9.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000957491           2          34          51          12           1        C1.6
GOES Xray  =   4.01037e-07           1           3          78          17           1        C3.1
est. ISN   =            71           1           3          60          32           4        C5.4
 
together                             1.75       22.25       56.50       18.00        1.50     C2.5
 
realized                                                                                      C5.3