Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234379           4          47          36          12           1        B9.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000975382           3          25          51          18           3        C2.1
GOES Xray  =   4.87095e-07           2           1          67          29           1        C5.4
est. ISN   =            71           1           3          60          32           4        C5.4
 
together                             2.25       19.25       53.50       22.75        2.25     C3.3
 
realized                                                                                      M2.7