Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234738           4          44          41          10           1        C1.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000979123           3          22          52          20           3        C2.7
GOES Xray  =   5.64903e-07           1           0          70          25           4        C5.1
est. ISN   =            82           2           1          58          33           6        C7.2
 
together                             2.25       16.75       55.50       22.00        3.50     C3.6
 
realized                                                                                      M5.0