Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233906           4          43          39          13           1        C1.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000955107           1          33          51          14           1        C1.8
GOES Xray  =   5.40058e-07           1           0          68          28           3        C6.1
est. ISN   =            61           3          15          61          19           2        C3.7
 
together                             2.25       22.75       54.75       18.50        1.75     C3.0
 
realized                                                                                      M1.5