Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232213           6          42          46           6           0        C1.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000921838           6          48          40           6           0        B9.3
GOES Xray  =   3.96156e-07           1           4          75          19           1        C3.2
est. ISN   =            58           3          18          65          13           1        C2.9
 
together                             4.00       28.00       56.50       11.00        0.50     C2.0
 
realized                                                                                      M1.6