Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230521          11          40          38          11           0        B9.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000888172           5          45          41           9           0        C1.1
GOES Xray  =   2.60582e-07           1          32          61           6           0        C1.3
est. ISN   =            46           4          24          61           8           3        C1.8
 
together                             5.25       35.25       50.25        8.50        0.75     C1.3
 
realized                                                                                      C5.0