Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235856           4          33          51          11           1        C1.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000960545           2          31          52          14           1        C1.7
GOES Xray  =   1.07092e-06           1           0          26          59          14        M1.8
est. ISN   =            61           3          15          61          19           2        C3.7
 
together                             2.50       19.75       47.50       25.75        4.50     C3.8
 
realized                                                                                      M7.2