Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237194           1          26          59          12           2        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000978618           3          22          53          19           3        C2.6
GOES Xray  =   1.14579e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            59           3          19          61          16           1        C2.7
 
together                             1.75       17.00       49.50       26.50        5.25     C3.8
 
realized                                                                                      M4.8