Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237714           3          27          57          11           2        C2.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000985515           3          19          52          23           3        C2.8
GOES Xray  =   1.35274e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            54           2          19          62          17           0        C2.5
 
together                             2.25       16.25       49.00       27.50        5.00     C4.0
 
realized                                                                                      M6.7