Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00241488           3          17          61          17           2        C2.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00103445           3          20          52          21           4        C2.7
GOES Xray  =   1.83383e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            45           4          25          61           7           3        C1.7
 
together                             2.75       15.50       49.75       26.00        6.00     C3.7
 
realized                                                                                      M8.6