Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234959           4          41          43          11           1        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000954207           1          34          50          14           1        C1.8
GOES Xray  =   6.78382e-07           1           0          57          37           5        C8.6
est. ISN   =            31           5          47          40           8           0        B9.8
 
together                             2.75       30.50       47.50       17.50        1.75     C2.6
 
realized                                                                                      M2.1