Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234788           4          44          41          10           1        C1.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000959236           2          30          54          13           1        C1.7
GOES Xray  =   6.96842e-07           1           0          56          36           7        C8.5
est. ISN   =            28           7          54          32           7           0        B6.3
 
together                             3.50       32.00       45.75       16.50        2.25     C2.1
 
realized                                                                                      C4.3