Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234694           4          44          41          10           1        C1.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000962633           1          30          52          15           2        C1.9
GOES Xray  =   5.77183e-07           1           0          66          30           3        C6.6
est. ISN   =            37           6          49          35          10           0        B8.3
 
together                             2.75       30.75       48.75       16.25        1.50     C2.2
 
realized                                                                                      C3.8