Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235477           4          41          44          11           0        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000979314           3          22          52          20           3        C2.8
GOES Xray  =   6.59428e-07           1           0          60          33           6        C8.4
est. ISN   =            40           6          44          43           6           1        C1.0
 
together                             3.50       26.75       49.75       17.50        2.50     C2.5
 
realized                                                                                      C4.0