Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00239531           2          13          61          22           2        C3.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00103772           3          19          54          19           5        C2.8
GOES Xray  =   1.12747e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            41           5          36          50           7           2        C1.3
 
together                             2.75       17.00       47.50       26.75        6.00     C3.9
 
realized                                                                                      C8.2