Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00238667           5          19          57          17           2        C3.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00104008           3          19          53          20           5        C2.9
GOES Xray  =   8.62413e-07           1           0          50          41           8        C9.8
est. ISN   =            49           3          19          67           8           3        C2.2
 
together                             2.75       14.25       57.00       21.50        4.50     C3.6
 
realized                                                                                      M1.0