Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235904           4          33          51          11           1        C1.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000998484           1          17          55          24           3        C3.0
GOES Xray  =   6.41730e-07           1           0          63          31           5        C7.0
est. ISN   =            58           3          18          65          13           1        C2.9
 
together                             2.00       17.00       58.75       19.75        2.50     C3.4
 
realized                                                                                      C1.4