Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234618           4          48          35          12           1        B9.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000980285           3          22          52          20           3        C2.7
GOES Xray  =   5.04158e-07           2           1          62          34           1        C6.1
est. ISN   =            53           1          17          63          18           1        C2.5
 
together                             2.50       22.00       53.00       21.00        1.50     C2.9
 
realized                                                                                      C2.1