Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234327           4          47          36          12           1        B9.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000976451           3          25          50          19           3        C2.1
GOES Xray  =   4.69950e-07           2           1          75          21           1        C4.8
est. ISN   =            58           3          18          65          13           1        C2.9
 
together                             3.00       22.75       56.50       16.25        1.50     C2.7
 
realized                                                                                      C2.0