Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234438           4          47          36          12           1        B9.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000983858           3          19          52          23           3        C2.8
GOES Xray  =   4.85150e-07           2           1          67          29           1        C5.4
est. ISN   =            67           1           7          68          23           1        C3.9
 
together                             2.50       18.50       55.75       21.75        1.50     C3.2
 
realized                                                                                      C2.8