Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236867           1          29          58          10           2        C2.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00102585           3          16          54          23           4        C3.1
GOES Xray  =   7.06267e-07           1           0          57          34           8        C8.4
est. ISN   =            76           1           9          59          28           3        C4.9
 
together                             1.50       13.50       57.00       23.75        4.25     C4.2
 
realized                                                                                      C6.1