Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00243928           3          14          53          26           4        C3.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00113227           3           4          70          18           5        C5.5
GOES Xray  =   1.46161e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            84           1           1          59          34           5        C6.8
 
together                             2.00        4.75       51.75       34.25        7.25     C8.0
 
realized                                                                                      M1.7