Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00245414           3          15          50          25           7        C4.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00115546           3           3          72          20           2        C4.7
GOES Xray  =   1.52084e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            67           1           7          68          23           1        C3.9
 
together                             2.00        6.25       53.75       31.75        6.25     C6.4
 
realized                                                                                      C9.2