Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00240585           3          13          64          18           2        C2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00108100           3          12          65          18           2        C3.7
GOES Xray  =   1.08660e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            56           2          19          62          16           1        C2.7
 
together                             2.25       11.00       54.00       27.75        5.00     C4.6
 
realized                                                                                      M1.1