Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00238931           5          17          57          19           2        C3.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00104958           3          15          58          19           5        C3.2
GOES Xray  =   9.34606e-07           1           0          46          44           9        M1.1
est. ISN   =            67           1           7          68          23           1        C3.9
 
together                             2.50        9.75       57.25       26.25        4.25     C4.7
 
realized                                                                                      C6.4