Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00240530           3          13          63          18           3        C3.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00105630           3          14          57          21           5        C4.2
GOES Xray  =   1.08984e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            40           6          44          43           6           1        C1.0
 
together                             3.25       17.75       47.00       26.00        6.00     C3.9
 
realized                                                                                      M1.0