Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00239252           3          14          60          21           2        C3.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00103441           3          20          52          21           4        C2.7
GOES Xray  =   9.89107e-07           1           0          35          55           9        M1.3
est. ISN   =            50           2          15          69          13           1        C2.0
 
together                             2.25       12.25       54.00       27.50        4.00     C4.5
 
realized                                                                                      M1.0