Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00239024           4          17          57          20           2        C3.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00103110           3          17          56          21           3        C2.7
GOES Xray  =   9.54445e-07           1           0          41          48          10        M1.1
est. ISN   =            63           5          12          56          25           2        C3.7
 
together                             3.25       11.50       52.50       28.50        4.25     C4.6
 
realized                                                                                      C7.8