Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00240763           3          13          67          15           2        C2.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00105195           3          14          57          21           5        C4.4
GOES Xray  =   1.25508e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            80           1           3          65          27           4        C5.6
 
together                             2.00        7.50       53.50       30.50        6.50     C6.1
 
realized                                                                                      C7.2